DeSart & Holbrook model in Indiana: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 44.8% of the two-party vote share in Indiana, while Trump will end up with 55.2%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often include substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 55.7% of the two-party vote in Indiana. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Indiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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