DeSart model in Hawaii: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, while Trump will end up with 29.9%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 69.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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