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DeSart model in Hawaii: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will win 29.9%.

Putting the results in context

Single models can contain substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 69.1% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 1.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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