DeSart & Holbrook model in Georgia: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 47.1% for Clinton, and 53.0% for Trump in Georgia.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 53.3% of the two-party vote in Georgia. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Georgia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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