DeSart & Holbrook model in Georgia: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 47.1% for Clinton, and 53.0% for Trump in Georgia.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 53.3% of the two-party vote in Georgia. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Georgia.