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DeSart & Holbrook model in Colorado: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 53.3% for Clinton, and 46.7% for Trump in Colorado. In comparison, on October 19 Trump was still predicted to obtain 46.8% of the vote.

Colorado is traditionally a purple state, where the two major political parties have historically gained similar levels of support among voters. This is why the election outcome in that state is regarded critical in determining who will win the majority of electoral votes.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, since they can include substantial errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, we recommend to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.2% of the two-party vote in Colorado. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Colorado.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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