The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 53.3% for Clinton, and 46.7% for Trump in Colorado. In comparison, on October 19 Trump was still predicted to obtain 46.8% of the vote.
Colorado is traditionally a purple state, where the two major political parties have historically gained similar levels of support among voters. This is why the election outcome in that state is regarded critical in determining who will win the majority of electoral votes.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, since they can include substantial errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, we recommend to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.2% of the two-party vote in Colorado. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Colorado.