DeSart & Holbrook model in Arkansas: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 40.0% of the two-party vote share in Arkansas, while Trump will win 60.0%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 57.9% of the two-party vote in Arkansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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