DeSart & Holbrook model in Alaska: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 43.3% of the two-party vote share in Alaska, whereas Trump will win 56.7%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 56.4% of the two-party vote in Alaska. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alaska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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