The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 39.2% of the two-party vote share in Alabama, while Trump will end up with 60.9%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they may include large biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 61.5% of the two-party vote in Alabama. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.