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DeSart & Holbrook model: Clinton tied with Trump in North Carolina

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton and Trump will each collect 50% of the two-party vote. In comparison, on October 14, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 49.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 50.2% and Trump 49.8% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. Clinton has 0.1 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for North Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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