Delaware: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 58.8% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, whereas Trump will end up with 41.2%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 60.2% of the two-party vote in Delaware. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Delaware.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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