Delaware: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 58.8% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, whereas Trump will end up with 41.2%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 60.2% of the two-party vote in Delaware. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Delaware.