Connecticut: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 58.1% for Clinton, and 41.9% for Trump in Connecticut.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often incorporate large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 58.3% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Connecticut.