Connecticut: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 58.1% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, while Trump will win 41.9%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they may include large biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 58.5% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Connecticut.