California: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a major vote share of 63.6% for Clinton, and 36.4% for Trump in California.
Putting the results in context
Single models often include substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 61.7% of the two-party vote in California. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.