California: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a major vote share of 63.6% for Clinton, and 36.4% for Trump in California.

Putting the results in context

Single models often include substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 61.7% of the two-party vote in California. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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