California: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 61.9% of the two-party vote share in California, whereas Trump will end up with 38.1%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can contain large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 61.4% of the two-party vote in California. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in California.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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