The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 61.9% of the two-party vote share in California, whereas Trump will end up with 38.1%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can contain large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 61.4% of the two-party vote in California. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in California.