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Alaska: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 43.2% for Clinton, and 56.8% for Trump in Alaska. In comparison, on October 14 Trump was still predicted to win 56.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 56.2% of the two-party vote in Alaska. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alaska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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