Alaska: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 43.3% of the two-party vote share in Alaska, whereas Trump will end up with 56.7%. In comparison, on October 14, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 43.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may contain large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 56.4% of the two-party vote in Alaska. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alaska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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