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Alabama: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 39.1% of the two-party vote share in Alabama, whereas Trump will end up with 60.9%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may contain large biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 61.5% of the two-party vote in Alabama. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Alabama.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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