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West Virginia: Trump with huge lead in PPP (D) poll

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PPP (D) released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from West Virginia were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

PPP (D) poll results
30

Clinton

57

Trump

Of those who responded, 30.0% said that they would vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 57.0% said that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from April 29 to May 1 with 1201 likely voters. If one takes into account the poll's error margin of +/-2.8 percentage points, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Single polls should be treated with caution, as they can contain substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, one can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 61.8% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. That is, the PollyVote is 3.7 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore outside the poll's sampling error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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