Emerson released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Vermont were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
Emerson poll results
Of those who responded, 47.0% said that they would vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 26.0% declared that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from September 2 to September 5. A total of 600 likely voters responded. If one accounts for the poll's margin of error of +/-3.9 percentage points, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls should be regarded with caution, because they often contain substantial errors. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, one should look at combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
For the following comparison, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in figures of 64.4% for Clinton and 35.6% for Trump. The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 64.4% of the two-party vote in Vermont.