Kansas: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 40.8% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, while Trump will end up with 59.2%.
Putting the results in context
Single models often incorporate large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.9% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.