The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 86.6% for Clinton, and 13.4% for Trump in Washington, D.C..
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they often incorporate substantial errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 88.2% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.