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DeSart & Holbrook model in Idaho: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 34.0% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, whereas Trump will end up with 66.0%.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, because they may include large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 64.6% of the two-party vote in Idaho. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Idaho.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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