The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 34.0% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, whereas Trump will end up with 66.0%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be regarded with caution, because they may include large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 64.6% of the two-party vote in Idaho. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Idaho.