Hawaii: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 70.1% for Clinton, and 29.9% for Trump in Hawaii.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 69.1% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.