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Clinton leads in Connecticut by 15 points in new Emerson poll


Emerson released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Connecticut were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

Emerson poll results




Of those who replied, 50.0% said that they will vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 35.0% declared that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out between September 2 and September 5. The sample size was 1000 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.0 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't put too much trust in the results of a single poll. At least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. The corresponding figures are 58.8% for Clinton and 41.2% for Trump. On April 11 Clinton received only 54.6% in the Emerson poll and Trump received 45.5%.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 58.4% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. Hence, Polly's combined forecast is 0.4 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's error margin suggests that this deviation is negligible.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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