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West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, whereas Trump will win 66.7%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 61.9% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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