Washington, D.C.: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 91.4% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., whereas Trump will end up with 8.6%.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, we recommend to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 88.2% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.