Washington, D.C.: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 86.6% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., whereas Trump will end up with 13.4%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 88.2% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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