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Vanderbilt University*Vanderbilt* poll in Tennessee: Clinton behind by 11 points

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Results of a new poll conducted by Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt were distributed. The poll asked interviewees from Tennessee for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt poll results
33

Clinton

44

Trump

The results show that 33.0% of respondents indicated to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 44.0% intend to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from September 19 to October 2 with 1000 registered voters. The sampling error is +/-3.4 percentage points, which means that the levels of voter support for Clinton and Trump differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they sometimes incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we convert the candidates' raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in figures of 42.9% for Clinton and 57.1% for Trump.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.1% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. That is, Polly's combined forecast is 2.0 points above his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's error margin indicates that this difference is negligible.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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