CBS News/YouGov published the results of a new poll. In this poll, participants from Utah were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.
CBS News/YouGov poll results
The results show that 20.0% of participants will cast a ballot for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 37.0% are going to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was in the field between October 12 and October 14. The sample size was 951 likely voters. The sampling error is +/-5.7 points, which means that the levels of voter support for the two candidates differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls can include substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, the best practice is to use combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
For the following comparison, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. The resulting figures are 35.1% for Clinton and 64.9% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
An average of recent polls in Utah sees Trump at 61.5% of the two-party vote. This value is 3.4 percentage points lower than his respective numbers in the CBS News/YouGov poll. This difference is within the poll's error margin, which means that the poll is not an outlier.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 60.5% of the two-party vote in Utah. This means that Polly's prediction is 4.4 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus in line with the poll's error margin.