Kentucky: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will end up with 64.5%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 61.2% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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