Jerome model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Utah.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 60.9% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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