The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Utah.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 60.9% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.