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DeSart & Holbrook model in Idaho: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 34.0% for Clinton, and 66.0% for Trump in Idaho.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 65.6% of the two-party vote in Idaho. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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