The 538 (polls-plus) model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 52.7% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 47.4%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, because they often incorporate substantial errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models sees Clinton at 50.0% of the two-party vote. This value is 2.7 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the 538 (polls-plus) model.
The 538 (polls-plus) model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the 538 (polls-plus) model.