Hit enter after type your search item

538 (polls-plus) model shows Clinton in the lead

/
/
/
236 Views

The 538 (polls-plus) model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 52.7% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 47.4%.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, because they often incorporate substantial errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models sees Clinton at 50.0% of the two-party vote. This value is 2.7 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the 538 (polls-plus) model.

The 538 (polls-plus) model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the 538 (polls-plus) model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar