The 538 (polls-plus) model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 52.8% for Clinton, and 47.2% for Trump. In comparison, on October 14 Trump was still predicted to collect 47.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 50.0%. This value is 2.8 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the 538 (polls-plus) model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the 538 (polls-plus) model.