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Wyoming: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 25.5% for Clinton, and 74.5% for Trump in Wyoming.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 69.3% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 5.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wyoming.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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