Utah: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Utah.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 60.4% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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