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Idaho: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 34.0% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, whereas Trump will win 66.0%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 65.5% of the two-party vote in Idaho. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Idaho.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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