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Hawaii: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 70.1% for Clinton, and 29.9% for Trump in Hawaii.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 69.1% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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