The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they can contain large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 61.3% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.