DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often incorporate substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 57.0% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 7.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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