DeSart & Holbrook model in Oklahoma: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 34.2% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, whereas Trump will win 65.8%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 63.9% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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