DeSart model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 25.5% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, while Trump will win 74.5%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, because they often contain large biases. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 69.3% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 5.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wyoming.