West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, whereas Trump will win 66.7%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 61.9% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.