West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, whereas Trump will win 66.7%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 61.9% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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