The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 86.6% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., while Trump will end up with 13.4%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can include large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 88.2% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..