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Washington, D.C.: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead


The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 86.6% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., while Trump will end up with 13.4%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can include large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 88.2% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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