Utah: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Utah.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often incorporate large biases, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 60.4% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 4.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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