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Utah: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 37.7% for Clinton, and 62.3% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on October 13 Trump was still predicted to win 63.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they may include substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 60.5% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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