WFAA-TV/SurveyUSAWFAA-TV/SurveyUSA released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Texas were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.
WFAA-TV/SurveyUSAWFAA-TV/SurveyUSA poll results
Of those who responded, 43.0% said that they intend to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 47.0% indicated that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from October 10 to October 12. A total of 638 likely voters responded.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls should be regarded with caution, as they can include large biases. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure yields values of 47.8% for Clinton and 52.2% for Trump.
Results vs. other polls
An average of recent polls in Texas has Trump at 53.4% of the two-party vote. Compared to his numbers in the WFAA-TV/SurveyUSAWFAA-TV/SurveyUSA poll Trump's poll average is 1.2 percentage points higher.
The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Texas. This means that Polly's forecast is 3.1 points above his polling numbers.