The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 42.5% for Clinton, and 57.5% for Trump in Texas. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to collect only 39.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, since they often contain substantial biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 55.5% of the two-party vote in Texas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.