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Tennessee: Substantial advantage for Trump in latest Vanderbilt University*Vanderbilt* poll


Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Tennessee were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt poll results




Of those who replied, 33.0% said that they intend to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 44.0% indicated that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from September 19 to October 2 with 1000 registered voters. Considering the poll's sampling error of +/-3.4 percentage points, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Single polls should be regarded with caution, because they often incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, one should consult combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure yields figures of 42.9% for Clinton and 57.1% for Trump.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 59.1% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. Hence, Polly's prediction is 2.0 points above his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus within the poll's margin of error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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