Results of a new poll administered by PPP (D) were announced. The poll asked participants from West Virginia for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.
PPP (D) poll results
According to the results, 30.0% of participants are going to give their vote to former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 57.0% are going to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from April 29 to May 1. A total of 1201 likely voters responded. If one accounts for the poll's margin of error of +/-2.8 percentage points, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of a single poll. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.
The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 61.9% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. Hence, the PollyVote forecast is 3.6 points below his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's error margin suggests that this deviation is significant.